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OUTPUT / DEMAND |
|
|
GDP (Q3 Pre. Est.) |
Up 0.6% on the previous quarter and up 2.2% on a year earlier |
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Service sector output (Q3 Pre. Est.) |
Up 0.8% on the previous quarter and up 3.5% on a year earlier |
|
Industrial production (3m to Sep) |
Down 0.6% on the previous 3 mths, and down 2.9% on yr earlier |
|
Manufacturing output (3m to Sep) |
Down 0.8% on the previous 3 mths, and down 2.9% on yr earlier |
|
Households’ consumption (Q2) |
Up 1.3% on the previous quarter and up 4.2% on a year earlier |
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Retail sales volume (3m to Sep) |
Up 1.5% on the previous 3 months and up 6.1% on a year earlier |
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LABOUR MARKET |
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LFS employment (3m to Aug) |
Down 19,000 on the previous 3 months to 28.161 million, giving an employment rate of 74.6%, up 0.6 from a year earlier |
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ILO unemployment (3m to Aug) |
Up 53,000 on the previous 3 months to 1.51 million, giving an unemployment rate of 5.1%, down from 5.3% a year earlier |
|
Claimant unemployment (Sep) |
Down 4,900 on the previous month to 0.94 million, giving a rate of 3.1%, down from 3.5% a year earlier |
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Headline average earnings (GB, 3m to Aug) |
Annual earnings growth of 4.6%, down from 4.6% in the 3 months to Jul. |
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INVESTMENT |
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Whole economy investment (Q2) |
Up 2.1% on the previous quarter and up 4.0% on a year earlier |
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Business investment (Q2) |
Up 2.5% on the previous quarter and up 4.0% on a year earlier |
|
Manufacturing investment (Q2) |
Down 0.7% on previous quarter and up 3.7% on a year earlier |
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PRODUCTIVITY |
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Whole economy productivity (Q2) |
Up 0.3% on the previous quarter and up 1.6% on a year earlier |
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Manufacturing productivity (3m to Aug) |
Up 0.2% on the previous three months and up 1.9% on a year earlier |
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INFLATION |
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Headline inflation — RPI (Sep) |
1.7%, down from 2.1% the previous month |
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Underlying inflation — RPIX (Sep) |
2.3%, down from 2.6% the previous month |
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HICP inflation (Sep) |
1.3%, down from 1.8% the previous month |
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Producer output prices (Sep nsa) |
-0.2%, down from 0.2% the previous month |
|
Producer input prices (Sep nsa) |
-6.0%, down from —3.0% the previous month |
|
Halifax house prices (Oct) |
Down 0.5% on September and up 9.4% on a year earlier |
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BALANCE OF PAY’TS / TRADE |
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Current account (Q2) |
Deficit of £3.9bn, up from £1.6bn in the previous quarter |
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Trade in goods (3m to Aug) |
Deficit of £9.2bn, up from £8.8bn in the previous 3 months |
|
Trade in services (3m to Aug) |
Surplus of £3.4bn, down from £3.7bn in the previous 3 months |
|
Goods export volumes (3m to Aug) |
Down 1.9% on previous 3 months and up 0.2% on a year earlier |
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Goods import volumes (3m to Aug) |
Down 1.5 on previous 3 months and up 15% on a year earlier |
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PUBLIC FINANCES |
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Public sector net borrowing (Sep) |
£0.7bn, compared with £-0.2bn a year earlier |
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Public sector net cash req’t (Sep) |
£3.87bn, compared with -£8.73bn a year earlier |
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FINANCIAL |
|
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Narrow money — M0 (Oct) |
Annual growth of 6.9%, up from 6.3% a month earlier |
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Broad money — M4 (Sep) |
Annual growth of 8.0%, down from 7.0% a month earlier |
|
Base interest rate |
Latest 4%, down from 4.5% on 8th Nov 2001 |
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Sterling ERI (1990=100) |
Closing on 08/11/01:107.1 Was 99.7 at the election; all-time low was 82.2 in Nov 95; peaked at 113.6 on 3 May 2000. |